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Does ‘inflation targeting’ work in India?

⚡ Key Highlights & Quick Takeaways

  • India has just completed a decade of inflation targeting (IT) as a formal policy framework of the Reserve Bank of India (RBI).
  • Under this framework, the RBI is supposed to contain inflation at 4% within a band of (+/-) 2 percentage points.
  • The RBI increases its policy rate of interest (the repo rate) when inflation kicks in.

India has just completed a decade of inflation targeting (IT) as a formal policy framework of the Reserve Bank of India (RBI). Under this framework, the RBI is supposed to contain inflation at 4% within a band of (+/-) 2 percentage points. In this piece, we explain the theory behind inflation targeting and test it against the Indian experience.

The RBI seeks to control inflation through two channels: controlling demand and influencing the public’s inflationary expectations. The RBI increases its policy rate of interest (the repo rate) when inflation kicks in. This pushes commercial banks’ lending rates up.